Sunday, April 04, 2004

The Diamond Mind simulations for 2004 are in and posted on The M's are predicted to finish at 87-75, 5 games back of Oakland at 92-70. The simulation predicts that the M's will allow 83 more runs this year than last while the offense remains around the same as last year.

The simulation does have the M's winning the division 25.8% of the time and the wild card 2.5% so there is some hope if everything comes together for the M's and the Angels and A's have some bad luck. If there's anything to be learned in playing in MBSBL it's that luck has a lot to do with final record (Just ask San Shin and his record in 1 run games ).

Frankly, being a pessimist blogger, I noticed that the diamond mind predictions don't really mention injuries and bench strength into the equation. All you have to do is take a look at the latest foolish Bavasi trade because Spezio is on the DL with back spasms and you can draw your own conclusions on what stupidity Bavasi is going to do if Edgar, or god forbid Boone, go down for any length of time.

I can't believe they got rid of 2 serviceable major league pitchers for a cast off utility infielder.


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