Friday, May 14, 2004

Back on December 15th I made this post (before Sodo Oh No) about the disastrous M's off-season. I thought I'd update my VORP chart from that post:

2003 Player 2003 VORP 2004 Player 2003 VORP 2004 Player 2004 VORP Proj
C Wilson -4 Wilson -4 Wilson 21
1B Olerud 20.2 Olerud 20.2 Olerud 10
2B Boone 75.8 Boone 75.8 Boone 24.8
3B Bloomquist 1.1 Spezio 14.6 Spezio 17.2
SS Guillen 24.2 Guillen 24.2 Aurilia -12.9
LF Winn 25.2 Ibanez 16.3 Ibanez 13.3
CF Cameron 28.4 Winn 25.2 Winn -1
RF Ichiro 35.8 Ichiro 35.8 Ichiro 9.1
DH Edgar 58.3 Edgar 58.3 Edgar 29.5
Bench Colbrunn 2.8 McCraken -12.5 Hansen 10
267.8 253.9 121.0

Wow. This is a total collapse that certainly matches well with what we are seeing on the field. To me the most egregious error is the swap of Guillen for Aurilia. At the time the best anyone could argue is that we would get the same level of performace (but for $1 million more). It hasn't quite turned out that way as Guillen's current projected VORP is 87.7. The GM is paid to get moves like this right. This is a major screw up - where is the accountability?

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